Commercial drone sales to rise by 84 percent in 2016

A new study from U.K.-based Juniper Research has found that annual revenues from commercial drones sales are expected to reach $481 million this year, up 84 percent from last year’s figure of $261 million.

The new research — “Drones: Consumer & Commercial Applications, Regulations & Opportunities 2015-2020” — found that a low price point had significantly reduced the barrier to entry in many sectors, with high-performance models now available for less than $3,000. It claimed that the reduction in drone price points had in turn resulted in their commercial application within an array of new fields including mapping, inspection and monitoring.

Agriculture to Lead Growth. The research argued that strongest growth would occur within the agricultural sector, which Juniper expects to account for 48 percent of all commercial drone sales this year. Here, UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles) help save time and costs over other methods, such as walking fields on foot and using planes for fly-over filming. Furthermore, the ease of use of a UAV created for the sector allows for more regular crop surveying.

Film and Television. The research also found that demand for UAVs in the film and television sectors is soaring. Drones provide a much cheaper and more flexible alternative to the use of helicopters and other methods to capture footage for the film and TV industry, particularly for action sequences.

Delivery Drone Concerns. The research cautioned that a raft of privacy, safety and security concerns mean that the usage of drones for delivery purposes is likely to be severely constrained or even prohibited within built-up areas.

According to research co-author Windsor Holden, regulators would be extremely wary of allowing planned services such as Amazon Prime Air and Google’s Project Wing to be offered, except as a means of delivering to isolated rural communities.

“Regulators are understandably concerned that the deployment of delivery drones in inner cities would significantly increase the risk of potentially fatal collisions with cars or even pedestrians,” Holden warned.

Terrorist Concerns. The research also claimed that there was a danger that delivery drones could be hacked by terrorists, conceivably delivering an explosives payload into areas where they would be capable of causing high levels of civilian casualties.

According to Juniper Research, the report:

• details and segments the various UAVs available in the market.
• assesses how drone development will proceed in light of stringent safety and privacy concerns and regulatory hurdles.
• analyses key market drivers, technological trends and challenges that currently influence market potential.
• determines scenarios that will impact future demand.
• provides in-depth forecasts across a range of key metrics.

Also, a new white paper, “Game of Drones,” is available to download from the Juniper website together with further details of the full research and the attendant Interactive Forecast Excel (IFxl).